No, not that one.

Now, assuming that you set aside the fact that she sounds like she’s in the first half of her twenties, this is a message that can at least remove some of the stigma of being a conservative right now, which will be necessary before the Right can get the socially-moderate Center to listen to them again. If a person can call herself a “progressive Republican” with a straight face and say, essentially, “don’t worry about that older generation,” it can gradually change the face of what it means to be a Republican at all. At the very least, it could take social issues off the table, not because left and right suddenly agree, but because people who don’t want Roe v. Wade overturned or who want their gay friends to have the right to marry can say to themselves, “Well, the party IS becoming more moderate,” and turn their attention to the economy, the military, etc.

This is both a good thing for liberal social causes and a bad thing for Democrats. If Republicans become more palatable to the center on social issues, the Dems lose their biggest stick to whack them with. They’ll have to have better policies than, “Oh, did AIG get bonuses we don’t like? That’s okay, we’ll just tax 90% of them! Happy now?” Uh… no.

Of course, the K-Lo’s and Kristols and Limbaughs and Hannitys of this world will want to strangle young McCain before she makes it out of her political cradle anyway, so let’s see how this plays out within the party first…

Watching these debates has been nerve-racking for me. I can barely stand to actually sit and watch them. But here I’ll be, in the computer lab, trying to stream the video (if we don’t have customers in the lab). It is, as many have said, McCain’s last chance to change the story, but unless he reveals that he has just returned from the mountains of Tora Bora, and personally drags Osama bin Laden onto the stage in handcuffs, I’m not sure what he can do to change perceptions 20 days out.

Obama has to stay calm, having no idea if he’s going to be debating the McCain that Palin wants to see, or the McCain that Bloomberg wants to see (though I think I know which one will be more persuasive to undecided voters). Fortunately, he’s good at remaining calm.

And I have to say, after reading this, I’m glad I had posted this. Now let’s hope it turns out to be a brilliant trap that McCain will walk right into.

I’ll try to post about the debate afterwards.

And let’s not forget, my Fightin’ Phils are one game away from the World Series…

If McCain wins, she won’t keep playing Palin.

Over on Slate, Timothy Noah raises the point that HDTV could do for John McCain what television did for Richard Nixon. That is, make him look really bad. Somebody brought this up in my high school class not long ago, when we were talking about HDTV and news broadcasts; the few of my students who’d seen the news in HD mentioned the blemishes you see on the anchors that you’d never see in “regular” TV. (I don’t know, I’ve never seen the difference.)

Somehow, while it makes for a nice sense of historical symmetry (especially with the Obama-Kennedy comparisions), I doubt HDTV will have the slightest impact in itself, as not enough people own the sets. However, the way it could become relevant is if enough commentators remind people who aren’t seeing it themselves how old McCain looks. From reading Noah’s piece, this sounds like a serious possibility:

Atlantic blogger Matthew Yglesias speculated on March 2 that “more pixels-per-inch isn’t going to serve McCain’s cause very well.” On April 11, Switched.com observed that while HDTV brought out Hillary Clinton’s wrinkles and McCain’s melanoma scars, all it did to Barack Obama was accentuate the veins on his forehead. About a week later, Politico‘s Michael Calderone had more or less the same thought while watching McCain in high-def on This Week With George Stephanopoulos.

If that keeps up, and finds its way into the mainstream press around the time of the televised debates, and that could cost McCain a few votes.

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